@Article{npg-12-397-2005,
AUTHOR = {Regonda, S. and Rajagopalan, B. and Lall, U. and Clark, M. and Moon, Y.-I.},
TITLE = {Local polynomial method for ensemble forecast of time series},
JOURNAL = {Nonlinear Processes  in Geophysics},
VOLUME = {12},
YEAR = {2005},
NUMBER = {3},
PAGES = {397--406},
URL = {http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/12/397/2005/},
ISSN = {1023-5809}
}