NPG - Special Issue - Quantifying Predictability

NPG - Special Issue

Quantifying Predictability
Editor(s): Z. Toth and L. Smith

Local predictability in a simple model of atmospheric balance G. Gyarmati, I. Szunyogh, and D. J. Patil Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 10, 183-196, 2003 Abstract Full Article (PDF, 2321 KB)
Cyclic Markov chains with an application to an intermediate ENSO model R. A. Pasmanter and A. Timmermann Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 10, 197-210, 2003 Abstract Full Article (PDF, 288 KB)
The role of boundary and initial conditions for dynamical seasonal predictability T. J. Reichler and J. O. Roads Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 10, 211-232, 2003 Abstract Full Article (PDF, 4916 KB)
Use of the breeding technique to estimate the structure of the analysis "errors of the day" M. Corazza, E. Kalnay, D. J. Patil, S.-C. Yang, R. Morss, M. Cai, I. Szunyogh, B. R. Hunt, and J. A. Yorke Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 10, 233-243, 2003 Abstract Full Article (PDF, 2735 KB)
Statistics of locally coupled ocean and atmosphere intraseasonal anomalies in Reanalysis and AMIP data M. Peña, E. Kalnay, and M. Cai Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 10, 245-251, 2003 Abstract Full Article (PDF, 343 KB)
Sequential parameter estimation for stochastic systems G. A. Kivman Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 10, 253-259, 2003 Abstract Full Article (PDF, 204 KB)
The Soverato flood in Southern Italy: performance of global and limited-area ensemble forecasts A. Montani, C. Marsigli, F. Nerozzi, T. Paccagnella, S. Tibaldi, and R. Buizza Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 10, 261-274, 2003 Abstract Full Article (PDF, 338 KB)